Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000069 0.000082 0.000096 0.000113 0.000131 0.000150 0.000172
2025-03-23 0.000053 0.000070 0.000090 0.000114 0.000142 0.000173 0.000211
2025-03-30 0.000043 0.000062 0.000084 0.000112 0.000147 0.000187 0.000237
2025-04-06 0.000035 0.000054 0.000078 0.000111 0.000151 0.000199 0.000261
2025-04-13 0.000033 0.000053 0.000080 0.000117 0.000165 0.000223 0.000298
2025-04-20 0.000027 0.000047 0.000075 0.000115 0.000167 0.000232 0.000317
2025-04-27 0.000023 0.000043 0.000072 0.000114 0.000170 0.000242 0.000338
2025-05-04 0.000020 0.000040 0.000069 0.000114 0.000175 0.000254 0.000360
2025-05-11 0.000019 0.000039 0.000071 0.000119 0.000186 0.000275 0.000395
2025-05-18 0.000016 0.000037 0.000069 0.000119 0.000191 0.000286 0.000417
2025-05-25 0.000013 0.000032 0.000064 0.000115 0.000190 0.000290 0.000430
2025-06-01 0.000012 0.000031 0.000063 0.000116 0.000195 0.000303 0.000454
2025-06-08 0.000010 0.000029 0.000061 0.000117 0.000200 0.000315 0.000478
2025-06-15 0.000009 0.000027 0.000060 0.000118 0.000206 0.000329 0.000504
2025-06-22 0.000008 0.000025 0.000058 0.000116 0.000208 0.000337 0.000523
2025-06-29 0.000006 0.000023 0.000055 0.000115 0.000209 0.000344 0.000541
2025-07-06 0.000006 0.000023 0.000058 0.000122 0.000224 0.000370 0.000585
2025-07-13 0.000005 0.000021 0.000055 0.000119 0.000223 0.000375 0.000599
2025-07-20 0.000004 0.000019 0.000053 0.000118 0.000225 0.000383 0.000618
2025-07-27 0.000004 0.000018 0.000052 0.000118 0.000229 0.000394 0.000641
2025-08-03 0.000004 0.000018 0.000053 0.000123 0.000241 0.000417 0.000681
2025-08-10 0.000003 0.000017 0.000052 0.000123 0.000245 0.000428 0.000705
2025-08-17 0.000002 0.000015 0.000049 0.000119 0.000242 0.000429 0.000714